Ending A Miserable Quarter With A Sell-Off

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[Chart courtesy of MarketWatch.com] Moving the markets An early rebound hit a brick wall, as this month/quarter turned out to be nothing but misery for the buy-and-hold crowd. To wit, during March, the major indexes lost big time with the S&P 500 plunging -12.5% vs. 0% for those who followed my trend tracking guidelines, which called for “all cash” effective …

Quarter-End Rebalancing Props Up Markets

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[Chart courtesy of MarketWatch.com] Moving the markets Despite Trump’s announcement Sunday night that he had extended the social distancing guidelines through April 30th, which translates into a continued shutdown of food, entertainment and other service industries, you would not know it by today’s market reaction. After a sight opening dip, the bullish theme was maintained, and the major indexes were …

Surfing The Stimulus Wave; Who Is That Elephant In The Room?

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[Chart courtesy of MarketWatch.com] Moving the markets Looking at today’s news headlines, you would think we’re back to last year’s theme of “bad news is good news” for the markets. Here’s a sample of what we faced today: More Than 500k Covid-19 Cases Diagnosed Worldwide: “From 0 to 250,000 cases in 4 months. From 250,000 cases to 500,000 cases: 1 …

A Tug Of War: Fiscal Stimulus Plan Vs. Corona Virus Fears

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[Chart courtesy of MarketWatch.com] Moving the markets Another strong rally lost half of its early gains late in the session, as the upbeat mood waned with some chart watchers confirming what I said yesterday, namely that big rebounds are not necessarily a sign that a bottom has been formed. More importantly, the indexes plunged into the close based on news …

Hope For A Fiscal Rescue Package Rescues Equities

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[Chart courtesy of MarketWatch.com] Moving the markets The markets finally managed a solid comeback by using nothing but hope for a $2.5 trillion stimulus package as a springboard with the Dow scoring its best percentage gain (11%+) since 1933. However, history throws a shadow on that event, if you look at this chart and become aware of what happened afterwards. …

Tumbling Into A New Week

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[Chart courtesy of MarketWatch.com] Moving the markets Despite the Fed saying that “aggressive action is needed” and subsequently proved it by introducing unlimited QE via purchases of $125 billion in securities every day, the markets managed to swing wildly but only “below” their respective unchanged lines. Analyst Graham Summers summed it up best: As I warned two weeks ago, the …