Weekly StatSheet For The ETF Tracker Newsletter – Updated Through 04/09/2026

Ulli ETF StatSheet Contact

ETF Data updated through Thursday, April 9, 2026

How to use this StatSheet:

  1. Out of the 1,800+ ETFs out there, I only pick the ones that trade over $5 million per day (HV ETFs), so you don’t get stuck with a lemon that nobody wants to buy or sell.
  1. Trend Tracking Indexes (TTIs)

These are the main indicators that tell you when to buy or sell Domestic and International ETFs (section 1 and 2). They do that by comparing their position to their long-term M/A (Moving Average). If they cross above, and stay there, it’s a green light to buy. If they fall below, and keep going, it’s a red light to sell. And to make sure you don’t lose your shirt if things go south, I also use a 12% trailing stop loss on all positions in these categories.

  1. All other investment areas don’t have a TTI and should be traded based on the position of each ETF relative to its own trend line (%M/A). That’s why I call them “Selective Buy.” In other words, if an ETF goes above its own trend line, you can buy it. But don’t forget to use a trailing sell stop of 12%, or less if you’re feeling nervous.

If some of these words sound like Greek to you, please check out the Glossary of Terms and new subscriber information in section 9.

  1. DOMESTIC EQUITY ETFs: BUY— effective 5/20/2025

Click on chart to enlarge

This is our main compass, the Domestic Trend Tracking Index (TTI-green line in the above chart). It has broken above its long-term trend line (red) by +4.18% and remains in “Buy” mode, with our holdings being subject to our trailing sell stops.

Read More

From Early Dip to Solid Green Close – Markets Shake Off War Jitters

Ulli Market Commentary Contact

[Chart courtesy of MarketWatch.com]

  1. Moving the market

The major indexes dipped early but quickly found their footing and closed with solid green gains. The rebound was helped by easing oil prices and ongoing monitoring of the U.S.-Iran ceasefire situation.

West Texas Intermediate crude eased back after briefly topping $100 a barrel, while traders digested the details of the two-week “double-sided” ceasefire.

The deal hinges on Iran reopening the Strait of Hormuz, which Tehran has agreed to for the next two weeks if attacks stop. President Trump has said U.S. forces will stay in the region until full compliance, warning of a massive response if the agreement is broken.

On the economic front, February’s core PCE inflation (the Fed’s favorite gauge) came in right in line with expectations, and other data showed a mixed but not disastrous picture. That helped ease some stagflation fears and supported the positive mood.

The S&P 500 notched its seventh straight winning day, with small caps and broader participation looking healthy. The Mag 7 also showed some life again.

Bond yields ended unchanged, the dollar dipped, Bitcoin climbed back above $72K, and gold advanced, briefly hitting $4,800 before fading into the close.

Longer term, the war has accelerated a notable shift: central banks now hold more gold than U.S. dollar reserves for the first time, highlighting growing distrust in the dollar.

Read More

Indexes Reclaim 200-DMAs – Gold & Bitcoin Join The Party

Ulli Market Commentary Contact

[Chart courtesy of MarketWatch.com]

  1. Moving the market

Stocks jumped this morning after President Trump announced he was suspending attacks on Iran for two weeks, pausing a five-week conflict that had closed the Strait of Hormuz and sent markets reeling.

West Texas Intermediate crude futures tumbled more than 17% to $93.42 a barrel following the news.

Trump posted on Truth Social that he agreed to the pause after receiving a “10-point proposal” from Iran, calling it a workable basis for negotiations. The ceasefire is contingent on Iran reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and both Israel and Iran have signaled agreement for now.

The initial euphoria lifted the major indexes, and despite some fading later in the day due to lingering uncertainty, they closed with solid green gains. All three reclaimed their 200-day moving averages, which is a technically positive development.

Bond yields ended unchanged, the dollar tumbled, gold surged back above $4,850 before slipping to $4,750 at the close, and Bitcoin gushed toward $73K before fading but still finished nicely higher than its pre-war levels around $65K.

Euphoria reigned for much of the day, but the fog of war is still thick. If this turns out to be just a temporary pause with more fighting ahead, we could easily give back today’s gains and then some.

Read More

Early Red Turns Green – Trump Deadline Looms Large

Ulli Market Commentary Contact

[Chart courtesy of MarketWatch.com]

  1. Moving the market

The major indexes started the day in the red as President Trump’s deadline for Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz loomed large, with hopes for a quick agreement fading fast.

Trump’s latest Truth Social post added to the drama, warning that “a whole civilization will die tonight, never to be brought back again” if no deal is reached, though he left a small door open for a “revolutionarily wonderful” outcome if cooler heads prevail.

In the end, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq managed to climb out of their early hole and closed slightly in the green, while the Dow fell just short of flat.

Oil was extremely volatile, reacting to every headline and comment, and the Mag 7 lagged the rest of the S&P 493 again, with Apple weighing on the group after negative news about its foldable phone.

Bond yields retreated in the afternoon as oil eased, the dollar tumbled, gold treaded water most of the day but eked out a 1% gain on late peace-talk optimism, and Bitcoin sank to $67K before bouncing off that level.

Who knows what’s next—all that really matters is what happens (or doesn’t happen) after the 8 p.m. ET deadline tonight.

Read More

Indexes Rebound On Iran Optimism – Seasonals Favor April

Ulli Uncategorized Contact

[Chart courtesy of MarketWatch.com]
  1. Moving the market

The major indexes opened higher, building on last week’s gains as oil prices eased back and traders weighed the chances that the U.S.-Iran war could be wrapping up soon.

Reports suggested the U.S., Iran, and some regional mediators are discussing a possible 45-day ceasefire that might lead to a permanent deal, though the odds of getting even a partial agreement before Tuesday’s deadline look slim.

Another idea floating around involves a plan put together by Pakistan that could trigger an immediate ceasefire and reopen the Strait of Hormuz as early as Monday.

Midday, the indexes pulled back toward flat, but Trump’s comment that “he can’t talk about a cease-fire” with Iran actually sparked fresh bullish sentiment and helped push us to another green close.

Besides the war news, the “stagflation” scenario crept back into focus—growth is moving sideways while inflation ticks higher.

Bond yields were little changed, the dollar opened stronger then faded, and gold traded in a tight range to finish basically flat.

The real standout was Bitcoin, which surged and recaptured the $70K level, where it’s holding for now.

Despite all the uncertainty, traders are also keeping an eye on seasonals, which historically favor April.

Read More

Weekly StatSheet For The ETF Tracker Newsletter – Updated Through 04/02/2026

Ulli ETF StatSheet Contact

ETF Data updated through Thursday, April 2, 2026

How to use this StatSheet:

  1. Out of the 1,800+ ETFs out there, I only pick the ones that trade over $5 million per day (HV ETFs), so you don’t get stuck with a lemon that nobody wants to buy or sell.
  1. Trend Tracking Indexes (TTIs)

These are the main indicators that tell you when to buy or sell Domestic and International ETFs (section 1 and 2). They do that by comparing their position to their long-term M/A (Moving Average). If they cross above, and stay there, it’s a green light to buy. If they fall below, and keep going, it’s a red light to sell. And to make sure you don’t lose your shirt if things go south, I also use a 12% trailing stop loss on all positions in these categories.

  1. All other investment areas don’t have a TTI and should be traded based on the position of each ETF relative to its own trend line (%M/A). That’s why I call them “Selective Buy.” In other words, if an ETF goes above its own trend line, you can buy it. But don’t forget to use a trailing sell stop of 12%, or less if you’re feeling nervous.

If some of these words sound like Greek to you, please check out the Glossary of Terms and new subscriber information in section 9.

  1. DOMESTIC EQUITY ETFs: BUY— effective 5/20/2025

Click on chart to enlarge

This is our main compass, the Domestic Trend Tracking Index (TTI-green line in the above chart). It has broken above its long-term trend line (red) by +1.55% and remains in “Buy” mode, with our holdings being subject to our trailing sell stops.

Read More