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ETF Tracker Newsletter For February 3, 2023

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A WINNING WEEK ENDS ON A WHIMPER

[Chart courtesy of MarketWatch.com]

  1. Moving the markets

Traders were simply blown away by Friday’s jobs report, which allegedly added some 517k new jobs in January, which was quite the opposite of the expected 187k. The number was so out of line that some analysts referred to it as the seasonal adjustment statement. After all, having witnessed 10s out thousands of layoffs announced in January, these massive job creation numbers simply seem out of line with reality.

Yesterday’s disappointing earnings reports from tech giants like Amazon, Alphabet and Apple, should have crushed that sector, but its impact was far less than expected. In the end, we saw another short squeeze pushing the major indexes higher, with the Nasdaq gaining over 3% prior to the release of big tech earnings. Today’s retreat of only -1.59% was modest given its recent advances, as the squeeze ran out of ammo.

Of course, all this good news about jobs growth, and the unemployment rates sinking to its lowest since 1969, may have unintended consequences in that the Fed, considering this economic strength, may very well continue its tightening path (and not cut this year), as the terminal rate moved back up into hawkish territory.

Stocks reversed and headed south and lingered in the red for the remainder of the session. Bond yields spiked, as did the US Dollar, which pulled Gold off its lofty level and back below the $1,900 mark.

It was simply a chaotic day on Wall Street, which portfolio manager Jeffrey Rosenberg categorized like this:

“This is a reminder of what Powell tried to say, but the market was not listening.”

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