One Man’s Opinion: Will Greece Experience A Real Crisis After General Elections In January?

Ulli Market Review Contact

92835431The crucial third-round of Greek Presidential elections is due Monday and there is a 60 percent probability the ruling coalition will fail to collect the 180 votes required to elect the nation’s president, leading to general elections in January, said Holger Schmieding, chief economist at Berenberg Bank in London.

If the Hellenic nation goes to polls in January, it would mean a period of political instability, which is bad for the Greek economy and the global markets. Reports coming out in the last couple of weeks show foreign-tourist bookings for summer -holidays have dropped considerably.

Separate reports suggest merger and acquisition deals that inject money into the private Greek economy are on hold due to uncertainties as well. If the country goes to elections it will be a temporary setback for the Greek economy, which may balloon into a real crisis after general-election results are declared in late January or early February, he noted.

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New ETFs On The Block: First Trust International IPO ETF (FPXI)

Ulli IPO ETFs Contact

104700912First Trust, the Wheaton, Illinois-based sixth-largest US issuer of exchange-traded funds, recently gave a global twist to its domestic IPO-focused ETF, the First Trust US IPO Index Fund (FPX).

The newly launched First Trust International IPO ETF (FPXI) aims to replicate the success FPX, which was launched in 2006, but found favor with investors only at the start of 2013 and managed to rake-in about $500 million since then.

The passively-managed FPXI tracks the IPOX International Index, a benchmark that measures the performance of the 50 largest and most liquid recent Initial Public Offerings (IPO) from companies that are domiciled outside the US.

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No ETF/No Load Fund Tracker Newsletter Today

Ulli Uncategorized Contact

Due to a variety of Holiday obligations, I will not be able to write today’s newsletter. However, this week’s StatSheet has been published, and the weekend pieces will be posted as usual.

Hope you are enjoying this Holiday weekend.

Ulli…

Weekly StatSheet For The ETF/No Load Fund Tracker Newsletter – Updated Through 12/24/2014

Ulli ETF StatSheet, Uncategorized Contact

ETF/Mutual Fund Data updated through Wednesday, December 24, 2014

TOC 121514

If you are not familiar with some of the terminology used, please see the Glossary of Terms.

 

1. DOMESTIC EQUITY MUTUAL FUNDS/ETFs: BUY — since 10/22/2014

TTI

Our main directional indicator, the Domestic Trend Tracking Index (TTI), broke through its long-term trend line generating a “Sell” for this arena effective 10/14/2014, which was followed by a violent break back above the line on 10/22/14 generating a new “Buy.” It was a classic whipsaw signal, and you can read more on my blog as to the events as they were unfolding.

As of today, our TTI (green line in above chart) is positioned above its long term trend line (red) by +3.26% keeping us in the market with newly established positions.

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Dow Ekes Out Gain

Ulli Market Commentary Contact

Wed pic

[Chart courtesy of MarketWatch.com]

1. Moving the Markets

It was nice start to a continuation of the current upward momentum but, while the S&P 500 fell back later on, the Dow managed its 37th record close of 2014.

It was a Holiday shortened session on extreme light volume, so not much should be read into today’s action. Helping the indexes was a steeper than expected drop in weekly jobless claims following the recent surprisingly strong GDP report, which received a boost due to seasonal adjustments.

4 of our 10 ETFs in the Spotlight closed up with 2 of them making new highs as table 3 below shows.

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Dow Conquers 18,000 For The First Time

Ulli Market Commentary Contact

Tue pic

[Chart courtesy of MarketWatch.com]

1.Moving the Markets

Markets continued their rally today following news reports of continued economic growth and the strongest consumer sentiment we have seen since 2007. The government released numbers today that showed GDP expanded at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5% for the three months ended September 30th. The S&P 500 gained 0.2%, the Dow rose 0.4% (closing at 18,024.17 a record), however, the Nasdaq dropped 0.3%. Markets continue to rock and roll through the Holiday season and aren’t showing signs of reversing the trend heading into 2015.

Part of continued economic growth can likely be attributed to gas prices remaining low, as they continue to fall at the pump. You may be shocked to know that the price of gas has actually fallen for 89 consecutive days now! This is the longest streak on record according to AAA. For the first time in five years, prices are now as low as $2.38 a gallon.

In corporate news, investors in Keurig Green Mountain Inc didn’t have much to be happy about today. The company announced it is recalling about 7.2 million home brewing machines because they could overheat and be hazardous to users. Shares fell 2.2% after the news. Keurig has received about 200 reports of hot liquid escaping from the brewer, including 90 reports of burn related injuries, the U.S. Consumer Product Safety Commission said.

Let’s hope that consumer spending throughout the rest of the Holiday season and low oil prices will continue to drive markets higher to close out the year.

9 of our 10 ETFs in the Spotlight rallied with 7 of them making new highs in the process as table 3 below shows.

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