05-10-2013

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ETF/No Load Fund Tracker Newsletter For Friday, May 10, 2013

ETF/No Load Fund Tracker StatSheet

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THE LINK TO OUR CURRENT ETF/MUTUAL FUND STATSHEET IS:

https://theetfbully.com/2013/05/weekly-statsheet-for-the-etfno-load-fund-tracker-newsletter-updated-through-05092013/

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Market Commentary

Friday, May 10, 2013

THE WEEK OF RECORDS

After enduring a choppy session, stocks settled higher to end the week with a gain despite a surge in the U.S. dollar and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke’s speech offering no new revelations on the end date of the Fed’s asset purchase program.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed higher by 36 points (0.2%) at 15,118, the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index increased 7 points (0.4%) to 1,634, and the Nasdaq Composite ascended 22 points (0.8%) to 3,437. In light volume, almost 5.7 billion shares traded hands on U.S. exchanges today, or 9 percent below the three-month average.

The market rallied for a third straight week, amid optimism that the U.S. economy is improving caused by central-bank monetary stimulus. Without any major economic releases, traders and investors paid some attention to Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke’s speech to the Chicago Fed’s annual conference on bank structure and competition.

During his remarks, Bernanke mentioned that U.S. economy has not yet fully regained the jobs lost in the recession, and the financial system—despite significant healing over the past four years—continues to struggle with the economic, legal, and reputational consequences of the events of 2007 to 2009. The Fed Chief ensured that the Central Bank would continue to work toward improving its ability to detect and address vulnerabilities in our financial system. However, he did not offer any insight into the topic of the Fed tapering off its assets purchases, which speculation surrounding the idea has gained steam as of late and boosted the US dollar.

Oil prices tumbled as the U.S. dollar hit a four and a half year high against the yen and the dollar index was on track for its strongest week against other major currencies in 10 months. A strong dollar makes commodities priced such as gold and oil more expensive for foreign investors, pressuring shares of energy and basic materials companies.

The Dow and S&P 500 ended at record highs on Friday as a rise in Google and other technology shares offset a slide in energy stocks. For the week, the Dow rose 1 percent, the S&P 500 1.2 percent and the Nasdaq 1.7 percent.

With no domestic economic news of note, the markets relied on international events for directions. Positive monetary policy coming from Europe, along with a wider-than-expected trade surplus from China, stocks ended higher four out of five sessions this week. The S&P 500 climbed to new record highs in all four sessions, and the Dow broke through 15,000 for the first time. With U.S. consumer and China data to headline next week, it’ll be interesting to see if the Bull Run can continue?

Our Trend Tracking Indexes (TTIs) headed higher with the market indexes and closed the week as follows:

Domestic TTI: +4.56% (last week +4.30%)

International TTI: +9.30% (last week +8.62%)

Have a great week.

Ulli…

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READER Q & A FOR THE WEEK

All Reader Q & A’s are listed at our web site!
Check it out at:

http://www.successful-investment.com/q&a.php

A note from reader Ed:

Q: Ulli: What are your thoughts on the PRPFX Fund with gold having dropped so fast??

A: Ed: I don’t own it, since it is hovering below its long-term trend line. There are far better opportunities in low volatility ETFs.

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WOULD YOU LIKE TO HAVE YOUR INVESTMENTS PROFESSIONALLY MANAGED?

Do you have the time to follow our investment plans yourself? If you are a busy professional who would like to have his portfolio managed using our methodology, please contact me directly or get more details at:

https://theetfbully.com/personal-investment-management/

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Back issues of the ETF/No Load Fund Tracker are available on the web at:

https://theetfbully.com/newsletter-archives/

ETF/No Load Fund Tracker Newsletter For Friday, May 10, 2013

Ulli ETF Tracker Contact

ETF/No Load Fund Tracker StatSheet

————————————————————-

THE LINK TO OUR CURRENT ETF/MUTUAL FUND STATSHEET IS:

https://theetfbully.com/2013/05/weekly-statsheet-for-the-etfno-load-fund-tracker-newsletter-updated-through-05092013/

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Market Commentary

Friday, May 10, 2013

THE WEEK OF RECORDS

After enduring a choppy session, stocks settled higher to end the week with a gain despite a surge in the U.S. dollar and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke’s speech offering no new revelations on the end date of the Fed’s asset purchase program.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed higher by 36 points (0.2%) at 15,118, the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index increased 7 points (0.4%) to 1,634, and the Nasdaq Composite ascended 22 points (0.8%) to 3,437. In light volume, almost 5.7 billion shares traded hands on U.S. exchanges today, or 9 percent below the three-month average.

The market rallied for a third straight week, amid optimism that the U.S. economy is improving caused by central-bank monetary stimulus. Without any major economic releases, traders and investors paid some attention to Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke’s speech to the Chicago Fed’s annual conference on bank structure and competition.

During his remarks, Bernanke mentioned that U.S. economy has not yet fully regained the jobs lost in the recession, and the financial system—despite significant healing over the past four years—continues to struggle with the economic, legal, and reputational consequences of the events of 2007 to 2009. The Fed Chief ensured that the Central Bank would continue to work toward improving its ability to detect and address vulnerabilities in our financial system. However, he did not offer any insight into the topic of the Fed tapering off its assets purchases, which speculation surrounding the idea has gained steam as of late and boosted the US dollar.

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Weekly StatSheet For The ETF/No Load Fund Tracker Newsletter – Updated Through 05/09/2013

Ulli ETF StatSheet, Uncategorized Contact

ETF/Mutual Fund Data updated through Thursday, May 9, 2013

Table of Content082312

If you are not familiar with some of the terminology used, please see the Glossary of Terms.

 

1. DOMESTIC EQUITY MUTUAL FUNDS/ETFs: BUY — since 10/25/2011

TTI

The domestic TTI broke through its long-term trend line generating a Sell for this area effective 8/9/2011. Over the recent past, we’ve seen the TTI hovering slightly below and above this dividing line between bullish and bearish territory. The clear break to the upside occurred on 10/24/11 and, effective 10/25/11, a new Buy signal for domestic equities went into effect.

As of today, our Trend Tracking Index (TTI—green line in above chart) has bounced off its long term trend line (red) by +4.72% as part of the post election rebound.

To avoid a potential whip-saw, a Sell signal to move out of all domestic equity positions will be generated once we have clearly pierced the line to the downside. Be sure to tune into my blog for the latest updates.

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Record Runs End; Major Index ETFs Finish In Red

Ulli Market Commentary Contact

Thur pic

[Chart courtesy of MarketWatch.com]

The winning streak came to an end on Thursday, as major U.S. indices closed the trading day in negative territory with currency exchange rates grabbing headlines. The market did overcome early morning lows in the wake of some mixed economic data from both sides of the pond.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average was 22 points lower at 15,083, the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index decreased 6 points to 1,627, and the Nasdaq Composite lost 4 points to 3,409.

The first big news of the day was the jobless claims number. Initial claims for unemployment insurance fell 4,000 last week to 323,000, the lowest level since January 2008, and below the consensus of 335,000. The four-week average of claims fell 6,250 to 336,750, the lowest level since November 2007, indicating a steady downward trend in firings. A level below 400,000 is consistent with moderate payroll growth.

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Sell in May? Not in This Bull Market… Not Yet

Ulli Market Commentary Contact

Wed pic

[Chart courtesy of MarketWatch.com]

The market was able to overcome early losses, and closed the trading day higher, supported by China posting a wider-than-projected trade surplus and an unexpected rise in industrial production out of Germany.

Both the Dow and S&P posted new closing highs. The gains came a day after the Dow closed above 15,000 for the first time ever. On the equity front, Dow member Walt Disney reported fiscal 2Q earnings of $0.79 per share, two cents above the consensus estimate, as revenues rose 10% year-over-year to $10.6 billion, compared to the $10.5 billion that forecasted. Fellow Dow component McDonald’s was traded lower in the wake of its mixed April sales report.

Due to lack of significant domestic economic data, stocks were driven by news from overseas. The market moved higher in the wake of a stronger-than-expected trade report from China, which eased concerns about a slowdown for the world’s second-largest economy.

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7 ETF Model Portfolios You Can Use – Updated through 5/7/2013

Ulli Model ETF Portfolios Contact

No news is good news, good news is good news and bad news is good news; that’s what it would seem like to an outside observer of the markets. And there is a lot of truth to it, as we no longer have true economic realities represented by the major market indexes. As I posted many times, the almighty Fed determines the direction of the indexes via its open ended stimulus efforts.

Yet, as investors tracking the major trends in the market place, it does not really matter what causes this relentless upward momentum, as long as it exists. We follow the trend on the basis that it will end at sometime and reverse, at which moment we will utilize our trailing sell stops to exit and lock in unrealized gains.

The last week was a repeat of the prior one with the S&P 500 adding another +1.82%, since the last ETF Model Portfolio report was published.

Here’s the latest update:

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