The US Fed must re-calibrate their estimates after the disappointing first quarter gross domestic product (GDP) reading as the first six months of 2014 is likely to be flat despite a strong rebound in the second quarter, said Ellen Zentner, Senior US economist at Morgan Stanley. Although the data going into the second half is looking well enough for the …
Markets Turn Down After Positive Wednesday
[Chart courtesy of MarketWatch.com] 1. Moving The Markets After the nice boost the markets had yesterday, the blue sky turned grey today as the S&P 500 and Dow both closed lower. Equities seemed to come under pressure today on speculation that Federal Reserve interest rate hikes may come sooner than expected, despite word that income and spending rose as jobless …
One Man’s Opinion: Will The Federal Reserve Keep Rates Low To Boost Consumption?
Following the Fed’s two-day monetary policy meeting this week, Chairwoman Janet Yellen said the central bank is going to stay accommodative for a long time after it ended its monthly bond-buying program this year, reassuring markets a rate hike is not likely any time soon, said Vincent Reinhart, chief US economist at Morgan Stanley. Asked if Morgan Stanley agrees with …
One Man’s Opinion: Is The Fed Likely To Raise Rates In The Second Half Of 2015?
When the US Federal Reserve says there’s a slack in the economy, it means lack of activity in the labor market and an unemployment rate higher than where it should be to generate sufficient inflation, said Neil Dutta, head of US Macroeconomics at Renaissance Macro Research. There have been both optimistic and pessimistic opinions about the state of the economy. …
One Man’s Opinion: Is The Debt Overhang Delaying The US Recovery?
US interest rates are expected to rise in the middle of 2015 or even later, though it would probably be appropriate to hold them lower a little longer than that, said Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago President Charles Evans. A lot will depend upon the data and how quickly inflation moves up to the central bank’s target of 2 percent, …
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