Authored by David Stockman via The Daily Reckoning, During the last 129 months, the Fed has held 86 meetings. On 83 of those occasions it either cut rates or left them unchanged. So you can perhaps understand why Wednesday’s completely expected (for the last three weeks!) 25 bips left the day traders nonplussed. The Dow rallied over 100 points that …
One Man’s Opinion: Will The Federal Reserve Finally Hike Rates In December?
Morgan Stanley is predicting 3-4 percent earnings growth in 2016 and in 2017, said Adam Parker, chief US equity strategist and director of quantitative research at Morgan Stanley. If investors go out a year from now and pay 16 times for the earnings month 13 to 24, roughly the S&P should be at 2050. The S&P is currently trading 2-3 …
One Man’s Opinion: Will A Stronger Dollar And Higher Interest Rates Trigger A Correction In US Equities?
Investors may not have realized but something interesting happened in the third quarter of 2015; corporate earnings declined year-over-year in the July-September quarter for the first time since July 2009. While one quarter doesn’t show a trend, earnings quality going forward doesn’t certainly look good, said Larry McDonald of Societe Generale. Financial engineering by S&P 500 companies have been stretched …
Markets Hold Strong Despite Paris Event; Is A New Domestic “BUY” In The Making?
[Chart courtesy of MarketWatch.com] 1. Moving the Markets Financial markets have held up well so far this week after the attacks in Paris Friday that sparked global concern about the economic impact of terrorism. Stocks moved higher Wednesday after the release of the Fed minutes of October, as the Dow logged a third straight day of gains and the S&P …
One Man’s Opinion: Will Negative Reports Before The December Fed Meeting Derail A Rate-Hike This Year?
The latest non-farm payroll report has come as a relief for most market observers and makes Federal Reserve chair Janet Yellen’s job easier, said Diana Swonk, chief economist at Mesirow Financial. The 271,000 job additions in October not only dramatically reduce chances of a dissent (for a rate-hike) in her inner circle, but also among Charlie Evans (out of Chicago …
One Man’s Opinion: Will Developments In The Labor Market Trigger A Rate Hike?
The short-term interest rates were kept unchanged on Thursday because historically, the US Federal Reserve has been a very conservative organization, said Gary Stern, former President of Minneapolis Federal Reserve. While the markets are witnessing a volatile situation, economic conditions abroad have been deteriorating, and the Fed failed to achieve its inflation target. Amid such a scenario, it’s pretty easy …
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