Is This The Best Time, “The Opportunity Of A Generation,” To Invest In Equities?

Ulli ETF News Contact

US investors are warming up to equity investment opportunities following the stock market’s bull-run since the start of 2012. Leading brokerages are upbeat about equities with some of them terming the current situation as “the opportunity in a generation.”

Jeffrey Saut, chief investment strategist at leading brokerage firm Raymond James and Associates Inc who oversees $300 billion in investments, thinks markets are set to witness a massive shift to US stocks, equity MFs and equity ETFs.

Is the euphoria justified? How good is the current market valuation? Are we heading for a secular bull run?

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Is It The Right Time To Enter Financials? These ETFs Are On Fire Already

Ulli ETF News Contact

US stock-markets have performed remarkably well with most of the indexes scaling multi-year highs since the beginning of the year. It’s common knowledge that for the economy to do well, financial companies (primarily banks, credit unions and insurers) need to fire on all cylinders.

The economically sensitive categories like materials and consumer discretionary have performed well compared to 2011. Financials, quite expectedly, have also been a star-performer on YTD basis.

The Select Sector Financials SPDR (NYSEArca : XLF) has been topping the popularity charts for some time now, returning an impressive 21.5 percent since the beginning of the year. Yet there are other financial ETFs that have outperformed XLF quietly, away from the spotlight. Let’s turn our focus on three under-reported ETFs that have beaten XLF by handsome margins.

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03-23-2012

Ulli Newsletter Archives Contact

ETF/No Load Fund Tracker Newsletter For Friday, March 23, 2012

ETF/No Load Fund Tracker StatSheet

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THE LINK TO OUR CURRENT ETF/MUTUAL FUND STATSHEET IS:

https://theetfbully.com/2012/03/weekly-statsheet-for-the-etfno-load-fund-tracker-newsletter-updated-through-03222012/

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Market Commentary

Friday, March 23, 2012

EQUITY ETFs RISE TO SHAVE WEEKLY LOSSES; GDXJ SHINES, TVIX NOSEDIVES FOR THE SECOND DAY

US stocks closed higher Friday as a weak dollar and a rise in oil prices boosted commodities related stocks, helping shave weekly losses.

Investors however, remained edgy about the economy’s health as latest new-home sales reading indicated housing is not out of the woods yet. Treasuries rose for the fourth day on the trot as worries over Chinese and European growth raised the safe-haven appeal of US debt.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) climbed 0.3 percent to 13,090.83, ending a three-day losing streak. The Dow is down 1.1 percent on the week, though it is up 7 percent since the beginning of 2012.

The S&P 500 Index (SPX) rose 5.31 points to 1398.09 with oil, miners and chemical firms leading the day’s gains.

The tech-heavy NASDAQ Composite (COMP) added 4.72 points to close at 3068.07 for the week.

ETFs in the news:

As precious metals and miners surged ahead, the Market Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ) advanced 2.71 percent on the day. The strength was reflected in other bullion and mining-related products like the Global X Silver Miners ETF (SIL) and iShares Silver Trust (SLV). The Market Vectors TR Gold Miners (GDX), which tracks equities of gold miners, climbed a healthy 2.07 percent for the day.

The iShares MSCI Poland Investable Market Index Fund (EPOL) ended a three-day losing streak that had pushed the ETF towards its 50-day moving average, to end 2.71 percent higher.

Energy stocks gained today despite China’s growth worries. The SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Equipment & Services ETF (XOP) added 2.17 percent on the day, marking the fund’s first day of gains in the week.

Among the day’s losers, the premium-laden VelocityShares 2x VIX Short Term ETN (TVIX) continued its freefall, losing 29.80 percent on the day. The instrument has lost about 60 percent in two days over news of additional share creation by Credit Suisse.

The iPath S&P 500 VIX Short Term Futures ETN (VXX) closed 6.89 percent lower as the Dow and the S&P ended the week on a positive note. The fear tracking VIX index and products linked to it have been badly hammered, and the ETN has now been pushed near all time lows.

Our Trend Tracking Indexes (TTIs) slipped from last Friday’s position but both remain deep in bullish territory. Here are this week’s closing numbers:

Domestic TTI: +4.81%

International TTI: +5.59%

Have a great week.

Ulli…

Disclosure: No holdings

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READER Q & A FOR THE WEEK

All Reader Q & A’s are listed at our web site!
Check it out at:

http://www.successful-investment.com/q&a.php

A note from reader Kent:

Q: Ulli: Clearly, the US bonds have been taken out and butchered in recent sessions, yet the bond ETF’s that you have followed and suggested don’t seem to have been hurt much at all.  Do you see this continuing, especially if the bonds should resume their aggressive selling?

Thanks; at your convenience.

A: Kent: That’s why I have favored the Total Bond Market index (BND) as opposed to others. However, if the sell stops get triggered, I will abandon bond ETFs for the time being. This recent sell off may have been just one of those unintended consequences of reckless Fed policy, and we may see a bounce back to the upside.

Since I can’t be sure, if this will continue, I just focus on the trends and the sell stop points. There is a lot of fog ahead, so I can’t give you a clear answer. 🙁

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WOULD YOU LIKE TO HAVE YOUR INVESTMENTS PROFESSIONALLY MANAGED?

Do you have the time to follow our investment plans yourself? If you are a busy professional who would like to have his portfolio managed using our methodology, please contact me directly or get more details at:

https://theetfbully.com/personal-investment-management/

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Back issues of the ETF/No Load Fund Tracker are available on the web at:

https://theetfbully.com/newsletter-archives/

ETF/No Load Fund Tracker Newsletter For Friday, March 23, 2012

Ulli ETF Tracker Contact

ETF/No Load Fund Tracker StatSheet

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THE LINK TO OUR CURRENT ETF/MUTUAL FUND STATSHEET IS:

https://theetfbully.com/2012/03/weekly-statsheet-for-the-etfno-load-fund-tracker-newsletter-updated-through-03222012/

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Market Commentary

Friday, March 23, 2012

EQUITY ETFs RISE TO SHAVE WEEKLY LOSSES; GDXJ SHINES, TVIX NOSEDIVES FOR THE SECOND DAY

US stocks closed higher Friday as a weak dollar and a rise in oil prices boosted commodities related stocks, helping shave weekly losses.

Investors however, remained edgy about the economy’s health as latest new-home sales reading indicated housing is not out of the woods yet. Treasuries rose for the fourth day on the trot as worries over Chinese and European growth raised the safe-haven appeal of US debt.

Read More

Weekly StatSheet For The ETF/No Load Fund Tracker Newsletter – Updated Through 03/22/2012

Ulli ETF StatSheet Contact

ETF/Mutual Fund Data updated through Thursday, March 22, 2012

If you are not familiar with some of the terminology used, please see the Glossary of Terms.

 

1. DOMESTIC EQUITY MUTUAL FUNDS/ETFs: BUY — since 10/25/2011

The domestic TTI broke through its long-term trend line generating a Sell for this area effective 8/9/2011. Over the recent past, we’ve seen the TTI hovering slightly below and above this dividing line between bullish and bearish territory. The clear break to the upside occurred on 10/24/11 and, effective 10/25/11, a new Buy signal for domestic equities went into effect.

As of today, our Trend Tracking Index (TTI—green line in above chart) has broken above its long term trend line (red) by +4.83%. Be sure to tune into my blog for the latest updates.

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Major Market ETFs Extend Losses On Global Growth Worries; VXX Climbs, TVIX Sinks Deep

Ulli Market Review Contact

US stocks ended lower Thursday as global growth worries soured investor sentiments with the S&P declining for the third consecutive session. The ever so positive analysts, however, said the markets are taking a breather after recoding double-digit growths in the first quarter.

Treasuries extended gains for the third day after reports showed euro-region output and China’s manufacturing weakened, boosting US debt’s demand.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) lost 0.6 percent to settle at 13,046.14. Only eight of the 30-component Dow ended higher with commodities and heavy-equipment manufacturers dropping the most on weak manufacturing data in China and Europe.

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