Tech Titans Tumble, But Broader Market Holds Steady Ahead Of Powell

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[Chart courtesy of MarketWatch.com]

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Stocks dropped together at the open, marking the fifth straight day of losses. Walmart slid about 4% after reporting its quarterly results—the company actually beat sales estimates, but its earnings came up short, leaving investors unimpressed.

All eyes are now on Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, who’s set to speak Friday at the big Jackson Hole economic symposium. Traders are hoping to get some clues on where interest rates are headed next. In fact, the market’s pricing in nearly an 80% chance the Fed will cut rates at its September meeting.

Minutes from the Fed’s July meeting revealed officials are keeping a close watch on both the job market and inflation. Most policymakers, though, think it’s not quite time to start cutting rates yet.

Tech stocks have been dragging the market lower this week—investors have been selling off their winners like Nvidia, Palantir, and Meta, and the Nasdaq has dropped about 2.1% so far. But, surprisingly, the rest of the market has held up pretty well.

Meanwhile, bond yields pushed higher throughout the day, which didn’t do gold or Bitcoin any favors—gold’s just drifting sideways, and Bitcoin’s feeling the pressure too.

With Powell’s speech just around the corner, the big question is: Will the Fed shake things up and give the market a reason to rally, or are we in for more of the same?

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Mag7 Stocks Out Of Favor As Traders Eye Powell’s Next Move

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[Chart courtesy of MarketWatch.com]

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Wall Street got off to a rocky start today, with major indexes slipping again. Tech stocks took a hit for the second straight day, dragging the market lower as traders kept a close eye on mixed retail earnings and anticipated the latest word from the Federal Reserve.

Investors kept cashing out of big-name tech and chip stocks, worried about whether those high price tags—and the AI frenzy backing them—have maybe gone a bit too far.

Nvidia slumped around 3%, while AMD and Broadcom lost more than 3.5%. Over in software and semis, Palantir slid 5.5% and Intel dropped over 6%. Even the mega-cap crew—Apple, Amazon, Alphabet, and Meta—couldn’t find any traction.

On the retail front, Target’s stock tanked over 8% (the S&P 500’s biggest loser of the day) after reporting yet another sales drop and announcing a new CEO starting Feb. 1. Lowe’s, on the other hand, got a little love when its earnings beat estimates.

While traders scooped up some classic retail favorites, no one wanted to touch the so-called “Mag7” tech heavyweights, sending that group sharply lower. Despite the tech slump, the overall market stayed relatively steady.

Bond yields edged down, the dollar pulled back, and gold caught a bid—rising 1% as dip buyers swooped in. Bitcoin bounced back above $114,000 after taking a beating lately, suggesting it might have hit bottom.

But you could almost forget all that—because at the end of the day, everyone’s just waiting to see what Fed Chair Powell will say after Friday’s big symposium in Wyoming.

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Mag7 Tumble Again As Wall Street Braces For Fed Signals

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[Chart courtesy of MarketWatch.com]

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The market was a mixed bag at the open, with the Dow standing out while everyone else treaded water as traders digested new earnings from major retailers and looked ahead to Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s much-anticipated speech later this week.

Home Depot shares popped 2%—even though its second-quarter results missed expectations, investors were happy the company left its full-year outlook unchanged.

The rest of the retail crew—Lowe’s, Walmart, and Target—are in the spotlight as earnings continue to roll in, with investors eager for any clues about the health of the U.S. consumer, especially with inflation and trade policy still in flux.

The real buzz, though, is all about the Fed’s annual Jackson Hole gathering. There’s plenty of wishful thinking that Powell’s Friday speech could be a game changer, with many hoping he’ll hint at a rate cut for September.

Despite the early promise, tech stocks weighed heavily on the indexes, and everything finished in the red.

The Dow has actually been beating the Nasdaq for four of the last five days—a trend mirrored by the Mag7 stocks, which have pulled back sharply this week. The most shorted stocks got slammed.

The dollar bounced back after some ups and downs, bond yields dipped, gold slipped for a fourth straight session, and bitcoin fell toward three-week lows after last week’s fireworks.

With everyone now hanging on Powell’s upcoming words, will he deliver the bullish news traders are hoping for, or will the bears get the upper hand?

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Markets Hit Pause As Traders Await Retail Earnings And Fed Signals

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[Chart courtesy of MarketWatch.com]

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It was a pretty uneventful Monday on Wall Street as the major indexes mostly hovered near the flat line. After a strong run last week, traders seemed content to take a breather while they wait for some big retail earnings, updates on Ukraine, and—most of all—a speech from Fed Chair Powell later this week.

All eyes are on results from retail heavyweights like Home Depot, Lowe’s, Walmart, and Target. These reports are expected to provide fresh insight into the state of the U.S. consumer.

There’s also plenty of Fed-watching going on, as central bankers head to Jackson Hole for their big annual meetup. Traders are looking for any clues about what’s next for interest rates, and the odds of a rate cut at the September meeting are now hovering around 85%.

The indexes are coming off two solid weeks, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq up in four of the last five weeks. Small caps stole the show last week as traders kept betting on a friendlier Fed.

On the housing front, homebuyer confidence remains stuck at rock-bottom, and homebuilder sentiment just dropped to lows not seen since the early days of the pandemic. Despite that, homebuilders still seem to be in a better spot than the buyers themselves, at least for now.

Today’s short squeeze mostly gave a lift to small caps. Bond yields ticked up a bit, the dollar bounced off Friday’s dip, and gold slipped just a hair. Bitcoin, which smashed through $124,000 last week, cooled off but built a solid base around the $116,000 mark.

With the final weeks of summer here and traders glued to Powell’s Jackson Hole speech this Friday, will markets stay in cruise control, or are we in for a surprise as the headlines roll in?

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ETFs On The Cutline – Updated Through 08/15/2025

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Do you want to know which ETFs are hot and which ones are not? Then you need my High-Volume ETF Cutline report. It tells you how close or far each of the 311 ETFs I follow is from its long-term trend line (39-week SMA). These are the ETFs that trade more than $5 million a day, so they are not some obscure funds that nobody cares about.

The report is split into two parts: The winners that are above their trend line (%M/A), and the losers that are below it. The yellow line is the line of shame that separates them. You can see how many ETFs are in each group and how they have changed since the last report (257 vs. 271 current).

Take a peek:

The HV ETF Master Cutline Report

If you are confused by some of the terms we use, don’t panic. I have a helpful Glossary of Terms for you.

If you want to learn more about the Cutline method and how it can make you rich (or at least less poor), read my original post here.

ETF Tracker Newsletter For August 15, 2025

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ETF Tracker StatSheet          

You can view the latest version here.

DOW LEADS WEEKLY GAINS AS TRADERS EYE FED, CHIP STOCKS STUMBLE

[Chart courtesy of MarketWatch.com]

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The S&P 500 dipped a bit on Friday after hitting fresh record highs, as traders took the chance to lock in some gains.

Still, it was a solid week across the board—the Dow led the pack, jumping 2%, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq each notched more than 1% gains. Optimism over possible Fed rate cuts, fueled by tame inflation data, kept the mood upbeat despite some bumps.

Chip stocks and weak consumer sentiment poured a little cold water on the market today. Applied Materials slumped over 11%, dragging the semiconductor sector lower, and Nvidia slipped 1%.

On the economic front, the University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment index fell to 58.6—down from 61.7—as worries about inflation crept back in. Still, retail sales for July rose 0.5%, in line with expectations, showing the U.S. consumer is hanging in there.

Looking ahead, traders are betting the AI boom and hopes for Fed cuts can keep this rally alive, even as we head into the historically choppy waters of late summer. Whether that optimism pays off, especially with Fed Chair Powell’s Jackson Hole speech on deck next week, is anyone’s guess.

By the closing bell: stocks and bond yields finished higher, the dollar dipped slightly, gold took it on the chin, oil was flat, and bitcoin eased off after hitting new highs. Short sellers keep getting squeezed—11 weeks and counting for the “most shorted” stocks.

With the “dog days” of summer in full swing, will Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole set the next big move—or just add to the summer haze?

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