Sunday Musings: Deflation And Double Dip Recession

Ulli Uncategorized Contact

Reader Rick emailed the following question: I have been reading several blogs and newsletters that are stating that the US may be looking at a Double Dip recession later this year but even more so in 2011. What is your take on this possibility? Also, I am seeing more and more mention of deflation without much being said about where …

Deadly Bottom Fishing

Ulli Uncategorized Contact

Some readers like to look at fundamentals as a primary decision tool to add a position to their portfolio. Just because fundamental data seem to paint a rosy picture about a certain sector being ready to explode, does not mean that I will. Never ever have the famous words “it can’t go any lower” rung truer as in the case …

No Load Fund/ETF Tracker updated through 7/1/2010

Ulli Uncategorized Contact

My latest No Load Fund/ETF Tracker has been posted at: http://www.successful-investment.com/newsletter-archive.php The bears ruled, and the major indexes lost 5-7% for the week . Our Trend Tracking Index (TTI) for domestic funds/ETFs barely slipped below its trend line (red) by -0.40% (last week +1.19%). For more on how to handle this, please see the above link. The international index has …

Peeking Into Bear Market Territory

Ulli Uncategorized Contact

Today’s slightly lower close finally pushed our domestic Trend Tracking Index (TTI) below its long term trend line, although only by a fraction of a percentage. We slipped below the dividing line between bullish and bearish territory by a minuscule -0.06%. That is not enough to declare a defeat of the bulls by the bears. As I posted this morning, …

Still Hovering “Above” The Trend Line—By The Slightest Of Margins

Ulli Uncategorized Contact

When I watched the major indexes sink into the close yesterday, I was certain that the Domestic Trend Tracking Index (TTI) had finally crossed into bear market territory. When the final numbers were computed, we had come close but the TTI did not actually cross below the line. Here are the latest figures: Domestic TTI value: 44.3639-week trend line: 44.34% …