Bear Market Thoughts

Ulli Uncategorized Contact

In case you missed it, reader G.H. commented on last week’s Fund Tracker update as follows: This might be a good time to point out that buy and hold (hope) “lazy portfolios” diversified across asset classes and countries are not doing so well. Personally I am in the camp that says there will be no “decoupling” of international economies when …

Sunday Musings: ‘Write-downs’ Are For Everyone

Ulli Uncategorized Contact

2007 was the year when Wall Street acquainted you with a host of new terms ranging from CDOs, SIVs and RMBSs among many others. One of the more common ones, which you can read about in the news every day, is “write-downs,” which is simply another way of saying ‘losses.’ However, it sounds so much more sophisticated when a company …

Stock Market Winter?

Ulli Uncategorized Contact

The markets greeted the first trading day of the New Year with a sharp sell off, which picked up even more steam towards the end of the week caused by yesterday’s chilling jobs report. With all major indexes (Dow Industrials, S&P; 500, Nasdaq, Wilshire 5000, Dow Transportation), including our own international Trend Tracking Index (TTI), now positioned below their long …

No Load Fund/ETF Tracker updated through 1/3/2008

Ulli Uncategorized Contact

My latest No Load Fund/ETF Tracker has been posted at:http://www.successful-investment.com/newsletter-archive.phpThe bears beat the bulls by a wide margin this week with all major indexes ending sharply lower. Our Trend Tracking Index (TTI) for domestic funds/ETFs has moved to +2.79% above its long-term trend line (red) as the chart below shows: The international index dropped to -5.46% below its own trend …

U.S. vs. The Rest Of The World

Ulli Uncategorized Contact

Reader Tom submitted the following chart which shows the economic output from all U.S. states compared to the rest of the world. While I can’t vouch for the accuracy it nevertheless still confirms that the U.S. is still the big dog on the block; it’s an interesting way to look at the globe (click on graph to enlarge): “In the …

Looking Beyond Subprime

Ulli Uncategorized Contact

Reader Nitin submitted an article from the NYT written by Floyd Norris titled “Credit Crisis? Just Wait for a Replay.” It tries to look beyond the Subprime debacle by trying to answer the question “What if it’s not just Subprime?” It’s an interesting read and makes you look at other potential problem areas. This is not meant to dwell on …