Sunday Musings: Controlling The Urge

Ulli Uncategorized Contact

Based on the emails I have received over the past few weeks, it appears that there are a number of readers who have a hard time controlling the urge of jumping in on the long side of the market during any 2-day rally, or wanting to go short with vigor anytime a pullback occurs. While it seems that you are …

A World Of Uncertainty

Ulli Uncategorized Contact

I read an interesting article called “Global capitalism teeters on the brink.” Let’s listen in on some highlights: The U.S. central bank is slashing interest rates, accepting piles of near-worthless securities from commercial banks as collateral for emergency loans, and pumping hundreds of billions of dollars into the economy. A problem that began last summer in the lowest-grade U.S. mortgage …

No Load Fund/ETF Tracker updated through 3/20/2008

Ulli Uncategorized Contact

My latest No Load Fund/ETF Tracker has been posted at:http://www.successful-investment.com/newsletter-archive.phpThe Fed’s oiling of the markets via lower rates and a new lending structure gave the bulls the upper hand. Our Trend Tracking Index (TTI) for domestic funds/ETFs remains now -0.36% below its long-term trend line (red), which means we are in bear market territory. The international index dropped to -8.78% …

Where’s The Bull?

Ulli Uncategorized Contact

Bullish hopes were dashed yesterday when the markets did not follow through to the upside, but meandered downward with the Dow losing almost 300 points. My contention has been all along that any intervention from the Fed or any government sponsored plan may evoke feelings of market euphoria, which will be short lived since the underlying issues of the Subprime/housing …

Lift Off

Ulli Uncategorized Contact

Wall Street got almost all it was looking for from the Fed yesterday. A 75 bps reductions in rates was not quite the hoped for whisper number of 100 bps but good enough to send the markets into orbit in a repeat performance of last Tuesday. Whether this exuberance will last is an entirely different question. Fundamentally, nothing has changed …

Will The Fed’s New Loan Facility Work?

Ulli Uncategorized Contact

The Fed last week introduced another scheme called “Term Securities Lending Facility,” which allows it to lend to securities dealers on top of funds already injected in the system. I am losing count, but it appears to be the third attempt in the last few months to get a handle on the credit crises. Bill Fleckenstein reflects on this latest …