The US economy has been growing at 2 percent real and perhaps 2.9 percent nominal for the past several years, said Bill Gross, portfolio manager at Janus Capital Group. Japan is above the (recession) line and euro-land seems to have come out of their recession; so easy monetary policy is working a little bit, but central banks’ philosophy remains questionable. …
One Man’s Opinion: Will The Federal Reserve Continue With Rate Increases?
The latest US-made durable goods reading was disappointing for the economy and showed businesses were pulling back even further than investors anticipated going into 2016, said Lindsey Piegza, chief economist at Stifel Fixed Income. Beyond the headline number, the details were more disappointing as capital goods orders, excluding aircraft and defense, a proxy used by investors for business investment, were …
One Man’s Opinion: Should Investors Be On Margin Or Leveraged?
Geopolitical risks can weigh heavily on capital markets, since investors that know less about China than the US are more concerned about the world’s second largest economy, said Leon Cooperman, CEO of Omega Advisors. The Chinese market turmoil is very significant for what’s going on in China, but in terms of the global economy, it’s not as significant as people …
One Man’s Opinion: Is The Real US Economy More Resilient Than We Realize?
The 10-year US yield is expected to generally move higher throughout the course of this year as yields are down at pretty close to the absolute low-end of the range, said Scott Mather, chief investment officer of US core strategies at PIMCO. Domestic inflation expectations are likely to start rising as it has hit the low point in terms of …
One Man’s Opinion: Are Financials The Cheapest Among Cyclical Stocks In The Market?
US equities are expected to give single-digit returns this year though the initial days look a little bad, said Bob Doll of Nuveen Asset Management. The current market turmoil looks a lot like August last year with plenty of similarities. China authorities did some things then, and they will do some things now (to calm the markets). Chinese policy makers …
One Man’s Opinion: Will Equities See Muted Gains In 2016?
The year 2016 is likely to see a slow start, similar to what was witnessed in the last couple of years, due to some additional slowdown in manufacturing, said Mark Vitner, senior economist at Wells Fargo Securities. The forward looking data on manufacturing is still pointing to additional deceleration – new orders data looks horrible, while the US economy failed …