ETF Tracker Newsletter For August 5, 2022

Ulli Market Commentary Contact

ETF Tracker StatSheet           You can view the latest version here. PONDERING A STRONG JOBS REPORT [Chart courtesy of MarketWatch.com] Moving the markets After much anticipation, today’s jobs report came in stronger than expected (528k vs. 258k), which caused an early sell-off, but the major indexes managed to claw back towards their respective unchanged lines, even though uncertainty reigned. However, …

Moving Closer To A New “Buy” Signal

Ulli Market Commentary Contact

[Chart courtesy of MarketWatch.com] Moving the markets Traders and computer algos marched in sync today by ignoring the fact that the Fed might not be pivoting to lower rates for some time to come, which several Fed heads had made abundantly clear yesterday. Today, it was St. Louis Fed President Bullard confirming again that “he doesn’t think the US is …

Fed Mouth Pieces Jawbone Markets Lower

Ulli Market Commentary Contact

[Chart courtesy of MarketWatch.com] Moving the markets I have been commenting almost daily on last week’s rally, which was entirely based on wishful thinking that the Fed will have to pivot back to lowering rates. Due to the US having slipped into a recession, traders, who have been frontrunning the market, expected that this event will have to happen sooner …

Stumbling Into August

Ulli Market Commentary Contact

[Chart courtesy of MarketWatch.com] Moving the markets Last week’s relentless hope that Fed head Powell will be forced to pivot due to recessionary forces (lower rates), which triggered a nice rebound, became questionable as to its timing and may not happen as quickly as the markets had expected. That could affect the duration of the current bullish run. The major …

Bad News Is Good News: Fed’s Rate Hike Pleases Markets

Ulli Market Commentary Contact

[Chart courtesy of MarketWatch.com] Moving the markets Only thing mattered today, and that was the announcement by the Fed on interest rates. Traders and algos alike engaged in the usual front running, and today they were not disappointed, as the Fed did not surprise with an unexpected hike of 1% but satisfied expectations of 0.75 increase. Late in the session, …

Walmart Cuts Forecast—Punishes Stocks

Ulli Market Commentary Contact

[Chart courtesy of MarketWatch.com] Moving the markets After the close yesterday, Walmart came out and cut its earnings forecast, which pulled all retailers lower in the afterhours trading session, as fears mounted that consumer spending, or rather the lack thereof, will now not be the driver to keep the U.S. out of a recession. That sour mood carried into today’s …