Sunday Musings: Most Annoying Business Expressions

Ulli Uncategorized Contact

Even the WSJ recently touched on one of my pet peeves I wrote about recently as I was reviewing the book “Why Business People Speak Like Idiots.”

Their article was named “Most Annoying Business Expressions” and covered some of the blown up phrases that could be translated into a simple word for everyone to understand. Here are some of the highlights:

Paradigm shift. The most overblown euphemism for “change.”

Swung to a profit/loss. A staple of Wall Street Journal earnings stories, it conjures images of Tarzan as an accountant.

Downsize (or its variations including “right sized” or “reductions in force”). They’re being fired, folks.

Sell off. There is no selling without buying

Leaving for personal reasons/to spend more time with his family. Yeah, right.

The pendulum has swung too far. I’m not a physicist, but pendulums by definition can’t swing too far.

We are cooperating fully with the investigation. After which our CEO will be leaving to spend more time with his family.

Profit taking. It’s called selling.

Merger of equals. The business version of jumbo shrimp.

Forward-looking statements. Lawyers must get paid by the word. For the rest of us “forecast” or “prediction” works just fine.

Reviewing our strategic alternatives. It’s called selling.

Quiet period. A legal fiction that grew out of a rule prohibiting companies from hyping their stock before selling shares to the public.

Pre-owned. A mangling of the English language to avoid the truth: used.

Pre-approved. A mangling of the English language to hide how lenders see you: a sucker.

Zero-percent financing/interest. How about “no interest?”

The customer experience. I don’t want to have an experience. I just want to buy stuff and leave.

Maximize shareholder value. Companies that talk about it usually aren’t doing it.

There you have it. If you have some to add, feel free to send them to me. Don’t keep those gems to yourself.

ETF Investing: A New REIT On The Block

Ulli Uncategorized Contact

In a previous post I mentioned the obvious disconnect that occurred earlier this year between domestic REITs and those that invest in the global arena.

The WSJ just featured an article called “Foreign Real Estate Funds Boom,” which analyses several REITs covering a variety of countries. Most of them are well known, however, foreign funds are not the cheapest when it comes to annual operating expenses.

However, my contention has always been that cost is relative to performance. If you had owned EGLRX for example with an over 40% return over the past year, the expense ratio would not have mattered. Nevertheless, many investors prefer a low cost solution along with great performance.

As has been the case, ETFs have come to the rescue over the past 5 years. The new kid on the block for international REITs is a Wisdom Tree International Fund (DRW), which focuses on Australia and some Asian countries. It’s only been around a short while, but for that period it has closely tracked the above mentioned EGLRX.

I will add DRW to the StatSheet (sector section and master List) starting with this week’s issue. While there is not enough data available to clearly identify its long-term trend, having it included already gives us the opportunity to monitor it and see how the momentum figures develop over the next few months.

If you believe that the performance of foreign REITs is to continue, you can invest in this new ETF now, but it is essential that you use my recommended sell stop discipline, just in case the market turns against you.

I have currently no investments in these funds.

No Load Fund/ETF Tracker updated through 7/12/2007

Ulli Uncategorized Contact

My latest No Load Fund/ETF Tracker has been posted at:

http://www.successful-investment.com/newsletter-archive.php

The bulls had it their way as the Dow and S&P; 500 closed in record territory.

Our Trend Tracking Index (TTI) for domestic funds/ETFs is now positioned +5.23% above its long-term trend line (red) as the chart below shows:



The international index has now moved to +8.90% above its own trend line, as you can see below:



For more details, and the latest market commentary, as well as the updated No load Fund/ETF StatSheet, please see the above link.

In The Spotlight: More SubPrime Fallout

Ulli Uncategorized Contact

Last Tuesday, the market could not find its bearings and the result was a sharp sell off. Seems like it was one of those days were all news were interpreted as bad news. Even Fed chairman Bernanke’s words on inflation couldn’t calm the Wall Street crowd.

One of the big news items of the day was Standard & Poor’s announcement that they might be downgrading some 2.1% of the $565 billion of subprime bonds because of the housing slump being worse than anticipated.

No surprise to me, but Michael Shedlock explains the ins and outs of this debacle with a great sense of humor in his article titled “Stress Test.” This is in reference to S & P’s report that it will implement a ‘stress test’ of subprime mortgages.

Hmm, I wonder if that is just another useless phrase that would fit well into the theme of my recent Sunday post “Why business people speak like idiots,” or if they actually have a valid plan. My guess is, it’s the former but I’m sure, as time goes on, we’ll hear more about it.

No Load Fund/ETF Investing: Increasing Your Knowledge

Ulli Uncategorized Contact

From time to time, you may come across some investing terminology and see terms like “R-Squared” used in an article. The formula is represented in the picture on the left and, if you’re a math wiz, you devour things like this for breakfast.

For the rest of us mortal human beings, here’s the definition by Vanguard:

“R-squared measures how much a fund’s past returns can be explained by the returns from its benchmark index.

If a fund’s total returns were precisely synchronized with the index’s return, it’s R-squared would be 1.00 (100%). If a fund’s return bore no relationship to the index’s returns, it’s R-squared would be 0.

The higher the R-squared, the more the fund’s return can be explained by the performance of the index, and so the performance of the market or market segment. The lower the R-squared, the more the return can be explained by the fund manager’s decisions.”

When would this be important to you? Most of the time, it does not matter, but when you invest in some of the newer more esoteric ETFs, which are all supposed to track an index, and the ETF performance differs from the underlying index performance, you now know why: Based on the above explanation, R-squared is less than 1.

It does happen occasionally, as I posted about in “ETF News: Straying From The Index.”

The Only Winning Investment Strategy You’ll Ever Need—Not!

Ulli Uncategorized Contact

Okay, I had to shorten the title due to space limitations. I am referring to Larry Swedroe’s book “The Only Guide To A Winning Investment strategy You’ll Ever Need.”

It contains some interesting (but rehashed) information I have written about before. Larry is a proponent of index investing and seems to think that buying and holding indexes is far superior to active investing.

I have to be honest with you; there is not much in this book I can agree with. Actually, it makes my hair stand up and I could write endless posts on my disagreements. However, I will only focus on a couple of items, which I found worthwhile sharing with you.

Page 34 features a table showing the devastating effects of the last bear market and Larry’s point is that even royalty funds like Janus suffered severely.

He included the S&P; 500 performance, which is better, but still devastating to his buy-and-hold the index case.

On page 44 he goes on to state that “in the bear market of July 16 — August 31, 1998, the average equity fund lost 22.2 percent. This compares to losses of just 20.7 percent and 19.0 percent for a Wilshire 5000 Index Fund and an S&P; 500 Index Fund respectively.

Huh?

Losses of just 20.7% and 19.0% vs. 22.2%? If you had invested in the indexes and lost only some 20%, would you then be pleased that indexing is the answer to conquering bear markets or even worthy of being a long-term investment strategy?

Come on; that’s ridiculous. This is like saying that big losses are better than huge losses. It’s a book that follows the same theme of putting a different lip stick on that same old pig.

To his credit, Larry addresses some of the issues which I have touched on many times and that is the useless reporting by the media designed to attract readers. However, as a bunch the media fails miserably when it comes to investment recommendations. He cites Business Week’s flop with its “Hot Growth” list of 100 great companies titled “For the Class of ’01, a Run in with Reality.” Those recommendations subsequently lost 22.4% over the following 2-year period.

While I don’t agree with Larry’s philosophy, he has some valid points as to how self serving Wall Street operates. It makes for interesting reading as long as you keep in mind that indexing as a buy-and-hold approach will not protect your portfolio during a bear market.