Equity ETFs Keep Pushing Forward

Ulli Market Review Contact

[Chart courtesy of MarketWatch.com]

Markets were acting bullish once again with the S&P 500 gaining 0.49%. Some of the gains were likely attributed to positive earnings reports from financial institutions among others, and expectations that Greece might come to an agreement with bondholders. European and Asian markets rose as well.

An indication that investors don’t seem to be worried about Europe, the 10-year Treasury jumped up to a yield of 1.97%. Also, the Euro has risen back up to a level of $1.30/Euro, further echoing that sentiment.

In general, markets seem to be ignoring the recent European sovereign debt downgrades. Leading up to the crisis, investors placed their faith in optimistic ratings agency analyses that proved to be inaccurate. But now that ratings agencies are highlighting major Eurozone problems, investors don’t seem to care. However, I strongly believe the writing’s on the wall for Europe, and it’s not pretty.

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Markets Roar Ahead – Time For More Equity ETF Exposure?

Ulli Market Review Contact

[Chart courtesy of MarketWatch.com]

Markets appeared to be in risk off mode today as equities brought their bull horns out. The S&P 500 gained 1.11%. The NASDAQ also had a big day, gaining 1.53% to keep the tech rally going.

Also, the Euro bumped up to $1.29/dollar while the 10-year Treasury yield rose to 1.90%. I think there’s still plenty of risk left on the table, but this has been a precarious January so far to say the least.

Some of this exuberance could warrant some additional equity exposure, which we’ve done to a small degree. Some sectors have done especially well this year such as materials and financials although whether this can continue is the big question.

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7 ETF Model Portfolios You Can Use – Updated through 1/17/2012

Ulli Model ETF Portfolios Contact

The S&P 500 barely budged since last week’s ETF Portfolio report, but all of our models increased in value due to their diversification.

The index is now approaching the psychologically important 1,300 level, which can act as a glass ceiling. It remains to be seen whether upward momentum is strong enough to pierce this resistance point in the face of Europe’s worsening debt crisis.

Some forecasters have called for a high of 1,330 to 1,350, but these things are simply someone’s opinion and not a guarantee. With Europe’s problems looming large, be sure to follow my recommended exit strategy at all times.

Take a look at the latest update:

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Major Market ETFs Return To Optimism

Ulli Market Review Contact

[Chart courtesy of MarketWatch.com]

Last week’s downgrades were forgotten as markets edged up today, with the S&P 500 gaining 0.36%. The optimism was seen across global indices while gold and oil prices pushed higher.

While global markets and commodities didn’t account for Europe’s troubles, the 10-year Treasury stood still at 1.85%. In the context of bond markets, investors continue to seek safer havens to store their assets, indicating perception of greater risk.

Elevated risk was seen in the form of the VIX, which rose 6.17% after a few weeks of relative inactivity. In essence, there’s still a lot of volatility in the market that can’t be ignored.

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ETFs/Mutual Funds On The Cutline – Updated Through 1/13/2012

Ulli ETFs on the Cutline Contact

Below are the latest ETF Cutline reports, which show how far above or below their respective long-term trend lines (39 week SMA) my currently tracked ETFs/MFs are positioned.

The first report covers the ETF Master List from Thursday’s StatSheet and includes 398 ETFs, of which currently 214 (last week 162) of them are hovering in bullish territory.

The second report includes only High Volume ETFs. To clarify, High Volume (HV) ETFs are defined as those with an average daily volume of $10 million or higher.

These ETFs are generated from my selected list of some 93 that I use in my advisor practice. It cuts out the “noise,” which simply means it eliminates those ETFs that I would never buy because of their volume limitations. 33 ETFs (last week 21) have managed to hang on in bullish territory after the recent volatility.

The third report covers Mutual Funds on the Cutline. There are currently 448 (last week 289) above the line and 413 below it out of the 861 that I follow.

Take a look:

1. ETF Master Cutline Report

2. ETF High Volume Cutline Report

3. MF Cutline Report

Last Week In Review: ETF News And Blog Posts To 1/15/2012

Ulli ETF News Contact

In case you missed it, here’s a summary of the ETF topics and market reviews I posted to my blog during the week ending on 1/15/2012.

Continued upward momentum pushed the major indexes higher by less than 1%. With Friday’s downgrade of various European countries, it remains to be seen how the markets will react when Wall Street opens for business on Tuesday.

Since this was really no unexpected news, the main focus may remain on the overall European crisis and hopefully some positive offsetting news from the upcoming earnings season.

This week, we covered the following:

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