The Deflation Scenario

Ulli Uncategorized Contact

MarketWatch featured an interesting story titled “Is that deflation we smell?” Let’s listen in: What do you call it when both stocks and commodities are plunging? Can you say “deflation”? To be sure, the monetary authorities, led by Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke, are doing everything in their power to keep this word out of our lexicon. But trading sessions like …

No Load Fund/ETF Tracker updated through 9/4/2008

Ulli Uncategorized Contact

My latest No Load Fund/ETF Tracker has been posted at:http://www.successful-investment.com/newsletter-archive.phpThe bears feasted on a bullish carcass, and the major indexes lost heavily. Our Trend Tracking Index (TTI) for domestic funds/ETFs remains below its trend line (red) by -2.66% thereby confirming the current bear market trend. The international index now remains -9.96% below its own trend line, keeping us on the …

Trend Line Observations

Ulli Uncategorized 1 Comment

Reader Joao has been watching our Trend Tracking Indexes (TTIs) for some time now and had this to say: I am observing your TTIs very carefully, and plan to take action when you recommend. I have a question however on the slope of the TTI: how relevant is this slope (as compared, for instance, to a 200 day moving average)? …

Running Out Of Gas

Ulli Uncategorized 1 Comment

Yesterday, the bulls came charging out of the gate pushing the Dow up almost 250 points in the early going. But, to the shock of traders and the bullish crowd, the rally faded and the major indexes ended up in negative territory. It’s too early to tell whether this total turn-around was a one day event or the resumption of …

The Election And Your Investments

Ulli Uncategorized Contact

Some readers have asked me to comment on the upcoming elections, the possible outcome and the effect on various investments. I try to stay away from commenting on politics in general, since I despise the way most positions go about their business. Empty promises and total lack of integrity would be some of the reasons among many others. However, yesterday …

Hedging Clarification

Ulli Uncategorized 1 Comment

I have touched on the subject of hedging before, but one reader posted this question: Can you please clarify what hedging means? In one of the posts I read: “The safest and most responsible way to use reverse-index ETFs is to hedge or protect your equity portfolio in a bear market.”Suppose I hold $ x worth of an ETF. How …